With last night’s nor’easter now wrapping up over New Hampshire, our attention will shift to the Gulf of Mexico where a tropical or subtropical system is expected to develop today. This system will get tangled up with an upper level low currently moving down the Rio Grande valley, so it is not expected to become an intense hurricane. However, it will still bring some rain and wind as it moves ashore this weekend, and its impacts may be significant in some places depending on how much it can consolidate over the next 36 hours.
The storm itself is trying to form under the area of showers and thunderstorms I’ve circled in red. It’s likely that this system will close off a center of circulation and be named by the NHC at some point today. To the NW of those thunderstorms, an upper level low is clearly visible along the Texas/Mexico border. This low will bring its dry air and strong upper level winds closer to our developing tropical system during the day today. Finally, a jet streak is noted above much of the Gulf Coast. This jet will help grow and ventilate the storm even as it struggles with dry air entrainment.
https://blog.weather.us/tropical-system-to-bring-wind-and-rain-to-parts-of-the-southeast-tomorrow-and-saturday/
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