Sunday, November 10, 2013

Severe Weather: Very Low Threat Continues

 

The proverbial wisdom is that severe weather results from a "clash of air masses."
But while we will have a clash of air masses this week as cold air plunges into the central and eastern U.S., we still expect little or no severe weather.
(MORE: Cold Blast Ahead)
Background

Thunderstorm Forecast

Thunderstorm Forecast
The reason for the lack of storminess is that the warm air ahead of the front across the South is also relatively dry and stable. That air may have just enough juice to spark a few showers and thunderstorms over the Southern Plains on Monday, but conditions just don't appear favorable for large hail, damaging winds or tornadoes.
Also bear in mind that the arctic air pouring across the warm waters of the Great Lakes could create enough instability for a few thunderstorms over parts of Michigan on Monday in association with lake-effect snow bands.
Once the cold air sweeps all the way to the Gulf Coast, the cold air mass should put the kibosh on severe weather for several days.
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