The cleanup from Sunday's outbreak of tornadoes had scarcely begun, but people in storm-ravaged towns like Washington, 140 miles southwest of Chicago, had to keep moving.
The tornado
cut a path about an eighth of a mile wide from one side of Washington
to the other and damaged or destroyed as many as 500 homes.
It
could be days before power is restored in the town of 16,000, state
officials said Monday, and debris was still scattered across the
streets. But people forced out of their homes were allowed back in
Monday to survey damage and see what they could save.
Though the powerful line of thunderstorms and tornadoes howled across 12 states Sunday, flattening neighborhoods in minutes, the death toll stood at just eight.
"Based on Severe Weather
Expert Dr. Greg Forbes' latest estimate, Sunday's outbreak may crack
the top five largest November outbreaks on record in the U.S.," said
weather.com senior meteorologist Jon Erdman. "This appears to be the largest November outbreak in almost eight years."
Forecasters' uncannily accurate predictions, combined with television
and radio warnings, text-message alerts and storm sirens, almost
certainly saved lives.
Another factor was forecasting, which has steadily improved with the
arrival of faster, more powerful computers. Scientists are now better
able to replicate atmospheric processes into mathematical equations.
In
the last decade alone, forecasters have doubled the number of days in
advance that weather experts can anticipate major storms, said Bill
Bunting of the National Weather Service.
But
Bunting, forecast operations chief of the service's Storm Prediction
Center in Norman, Okla., said it was not until Saturday that the
atmospheric instability that turns smaller storm systems into larger,
more menacing ones came into focus.
Information from weather stations, weather balloons, satellite imagery and radar told scientists that there was more than enough moisture - fuel for storms - making its way northeast from the Gulf of Mexico.
Despite
Sunday's destruction and at least eight deaths, 2013 has been a
relatively mild year for twisters in the U.S., with the number of
twisters running at or near record lows.
An outbreak like the one that developed Sunday usually happens about
once every seven to 10 years, according to tornado experts at the National Weather Service's Storm Prediction Center and National Severe Storm Lab in Norman, Okla.
The outbreak occurred because of
unusually warm moist air from Louisiana to Michigan that was then hit by
an upper-level cold front. That crash of hot and cold, dry and wet, is
what triggers tornadoes.
Like most November storms, this one was high in wind shear and lower
in moist energy. Wind shear is the difference between winds at high
altitude and wind near the surface.
Because it was high in wind
shear, the storm system moved fast, like a speeding car, Brooks said.
That meant the storm hit more places before it petered out, affecting
more people, but it might have been slightly less damaging where it hit
because it was moving so fast, he said.
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