The scenario of strengthening Hagupit bringing life-threatening dangers to the Philippines remains a serious concern.
Hagupit strengthened into a typhoon early Tuesday night PHT (Tuesday morning EST) with maximum sustained winds of 130 kph (80 mph).
Conditions are prime for Hagupit to strengthen further, potentially approaching super typhoon intensity over the waters of the Philippine Sea later this week.
Prior to reaching the Philippine Sea, Hagupit will bear down on the island of Yap during the first part of Wednesday night (local time).
Residents of this island should prepare for torrential rain, damaging winds and dangerously rough surf. The weather will begin deteriorating Wednesday afternoon
Beyond Yap, AccuWeather.com meteorologists have identified two scenarios for Hagupit. Both involve Hagupit becoming a powerful and dangerous typhoon. However, the Philippines will either have to brace for life-threatening impacts or will be spared depending on which track unfolds.
The first scenario would be a more westerly track, bringing the typhoon into the southern or central Philippines this weekend and in contact with a much more significant population.
"If the storm takes the track into the Philippines, the impacts will be potentially very severe with widespread flooding, damaging winds, storm surge and pounding surf," stated AccuWeather.com Meteorologist Anthony Sagliani.
The danger for flooding would become extreme and more life-threatening if Hagupit slows its forward movement and crawls through the Philippines, unloading inundating amounts of rain. Mudslides would also be a serious concern.
http://www.accuweather.com/en/weather-news/new-west-pacific-threat-develo/38232221
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