Friday, November 30, 2012

What We Know about Superstorm Sandy a Month Later


Published: Nov 29, 2012, 4:47 PM EST Associated Press
AP PHOTO/MARK LENNIHAN
United States flags are displayed on flood-damaged homes in the Breezy Point section of Queens, N.Y., Wednesday, Nov. 28, 2012.
Superstorm Sandy wreaked havoc on parts of the U.S. East Coast a month ago Thursday after tearing through the Caribbean. In the weeks since, the storm's scope has come into sharper focus.

Deaths

Sandy killed at least 125 people in the United States. That includes 60 in New York -- 43 of them in New York City -- 34 in New Jersey and 16 in Pennsylvania. At least seven people died in West Virginia, where the storm dropped heavy snow. Sandy killed 71 people in the Caribbean, including 54 in Haiti.

http://www.weather.com/news/superstorm-sandy-one-month-20121129

Does the Saffir-Simpson Scale Need an Improvement?


Sean Breslin Published: Nov 30, 2012, 3:54 PM EST weather.com
NOAA VIA GETTY IMAGES
In this handout satellite image provided by National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), Hurricane Isaac moves toward the Gulf Coast on August 28, 2012.
The Saffir-Simpson Scale, used to measure wind speed in hurricanes, hasn't had such a great run over the last couple of years.
It isn't the fault of the scale, though -- it has always been solely a measure of wind speed, and sometimes, winds don't depict the true strength of a storm. Hurricane Isaac came ashore with maximum sustained winds of 80 mph (a low-end Category 1 hurricane) but created a water rise of more than 11 feet at Shell Beach, La.
When the water rises that high, that fast, the danger doesn't always translate when the scale insists it's a minimal hurricane.
What if there was another way to categorize these storms? The Weather Channel is not trying to change the scale or reinvent the way the public looks at hurricanes, but the discussion is worthwhile.
http://www.weather.com/news/weather-hurricanes/hurricanes-scale-change-20121128

Near Record Warmth Kicks Off December

With a jet stream riding through the north and southerly winds, warmer than average air will engulf a large portion of the country going into December. By Saturday the majority of the country will be at nice temperatures into the 50s and 60s. Farther south, it will be even higher into the 60s and 70s. The warm up will continue through Sunday and Monday. Many cities in the Midwest, South, and Mid-Atlantic experiencing temperatures 10 to 25 degrees above average for early December. Chicago's forecast for Sunday and Monday is the average high in late October or mid-April.

http://www.weather.com/news/weather-forecast/late-november-warm-up-20121126

Hypothermia and Carbon Monoxide Poisoning Cases Soar in City After Hurricane- Alexis Brunson

The number of cold-exposure cases in New York City tripled in the weeks after Hurricane Sandy struck compared with the same period in previous years, the health department reported in an alert to thousands of doctors and other health care providers on Wednesday. And even though power and heat have been restored to most of the city, there are still thousands of people living in the cold, the department said. The department warned health care providers that residents living in unheated homes faced “a significant risk of serious illness and death from multiple causes.”
http://www.nytimes.com/2012/11/29/nyregion/hypothermia-and-carbon-monoxide-poisoning-cases-soar-in-new-york-after-hurricane-sandy.html

2012 Drought will probably last through the winter, -Alexis Brunson

The tenacious U.S. drought that continues to hamper American agricultural output and put water supplies and Mississippi River commerce at risk worsened during the past week, particularly in the Southeast, according to figures released on Thursday. The new U.S. Drought Monitor shows that all categories of drought increased across the country between Nov. 20-27, with the largest increase occurring in an area from Alabama northeastward to Virginia.

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2012/11/29/us-drought-2012-midwest-winter_n_2214061.html

Preventing Frozen Pipes

Preventing Frozen Pipes

Insurance Institute of Business and Home Safety
weatherready,pipes,freeze,winter
When water freezes, it expands. That's why a can of soda explodes if it's put into a freezer to chill quickly and forgotten. When water freezes in a pipe, it expands the same way. If it expands enough, the pipe bursts, water escapes and serious damage can result.
Why Pipes Burst
Surprisingly, ice forming in a pipe does not typically cause a break where the ice blockage occurs. It's not the radial expansion of ice against the wall of the pipe that causes the break. Rather, following a complete ice blockage in a pipe, continued freezing and expansion inside the pipe causes water pressure to increase downstream -- between the ice blockage and a closed faucet at the end.
It's this increase in water pressure that leads to pipe failure. Usually the pipe bursts where little or no ice has formed. Upstream from the ice blockage, the water can always retreat back towards its source, so there is no pressure build-up to cause a break. Water has to freeze for ice blockages to occur. Pipes are usually safe when they are adequately protected along their entire length by placement within a building's insulation, insulation on the pipe itself, or heating.
Regional Differences
Generally, houses in northern climates are built with the water pipes located on the inside of the building insulation, which protects the pipes from subfreezing weather. However, extremely cold weather and holes in the building that allow a flow of cold air to come into contact with pipes can lead to freezing and bursting.
Water pipes in houses in southern climates often are more vulnerable to winter cold spells. The pipes are more likely to be located in unprotected areas outside of the building insulation, and homeowners tend to be less aware of freezing problems, which may occur only once or twice a season.
Pipes in attics, crawl spaces and outside walls are all vulnerable to freezing, especially if there are cracks or openings that allow cold, outside air to flow across the pipes. Research at the University of Illinois has shown that wind chill, the cooling effect of air and wind that causes the human body to lose heat, can play a major role in accelerating ice blockage, and thus bursting, in water pipes.
Holes in an outside wall where television, cable or telephone lines enter can provide access for cold air to reach pipes. The size of pipes and their composition (such as copper or PVC) have some bearing on how fast ice forms, but they are relatively minor factors in pipe bursting compared with the absence of heat, pipe insulation and exposure to a flow of subfreezing air.
When is it Cold Enough to Freeze?
When should homeowners be alert to the danger of freezing pipes? That depends, but in southern states and other areas where freezing weather is the exception rather than the rule (and where houses often do not provide adequate built-in protection), the temperature alert threshold is 20°F.
This threshold is based upon research conducted by the Building Research Council at the University of Illinois. Field tests of residential water systems subjected to winter temperatures demonstrated that, for un-insulated pipes installed in an unconditioned attic, the onset of freezing occurred when the outside temperature fell to 20°F or below.
This finding was supported by a survey of 71 plumbers practicing in southern states, in which the consensus was that burst-pipe problems began to appear when temperatures fell into the teens. However, freezing incidents can occur when the temperature remains above 20°F. Pipes exposed to cold air (especially flowing air on a windy day) because of cracks in an outside wall or lack of insulation are vulnerable to freezing at temperatures above the threshold. However, the 20°F temperature alert threshold should address the majority of potential burst-pipe incidents in southern states.
Mitigating the Problem
Water freezes when heat in the water is transferred to subfreezing air. The best way to keep water in pipes from freezing is to slow or stop this transfer of heat.
Ideally, it is best not to expose water pipes to subfreezing temperatures, by placing them only in heated spaces and keeping them out of attics, crawl spaces and vulnerable outside walls. In new construction, proper placement can be designed into the building.
In existing houses, a plumber may be able to re route at-risk pipes to protected areas, although this may not be a practical solution. If the latter is the case, vulnerable pipes that are accessible should be fitted with insulation sleeves or wrapping (which slows the heat transfer), the more insulation the better. It is important not to leave gaps that expose the pipe to cold air.
Hardware stores and home centers carry the necessary materials, usually in foam rubber or fiberglass sleeves. Better yet, plumbing supply stores and insulation dealers carry pipe sleeves that feature extra-thick insulation, as much as 1 or 2 ft thick. The added protection is worth the extra cost.
Cracks and holes in outside walls and foundations near water pipes should be sealed with caulking to keep cold wind away from the pipes. Kitchen and bathroom cabinets can keep warm inside air from reaching pipes under sinks and in adjacent outside walls. It's a good idea to keep cabinet doors open during cold spells to let the warm air circulate around the pipes.
Electric heating tapes and cables are available to run along pipes to keep the water from freezing. These must be used with extreme caution; follow the manufacturer's instructions carefully to avoid the risk of fire, and check to make sure the product conforms to UL 2049. Tapes and cables with a built-in thermostat will turn heat on when needed. Tapes without a thermostat have to be plugged in each time heat is needed, and may be forgotten.
Letting the Water Run
Letting a faucet drip during extreme cold weather can prevent a pipe from bursting. It's not that a small flow of water prevents freezing; this helps, but water can freeze even with a slow flow.
Rather, opening a faucet will provide relief from the excessive pressure that builds between the faucet and the ice blockage when freezing occurs. If there is no excessive water pressure, there is no burst pipe, even if the water inside the pipe freezes.
A dripping faucet wastes some water, so only pipes vulnerable to freezing (ones that run through an unheated or unprotected space) should be left with the water flowing. The drip can be very slight. Even the slowest drip at normal pressure will provide pressure relief when needed. Where both hot and cold lines serve a spigot, make sure each one contributes to the drip, since both are subjected to freezing. If the dripping stops, leave the faucet(s) open, since a pipe may have frozen and will still need pressure relief.
If You Suspect a Frozen Pipe
If you open a faucet and no water comes out, don't take any chances. Call a plumber. If a water pipe bursts, turn off the water at the main shut-off valve (usually at the water meter or where the main line enters the house); leave the faucet(s) open until repairs are completed.
Don't try to thaw a frozen pipe with an open flame. This will damage the pipe and may even start a building fire. You might be able to thaw a pipe with a hand-held hair dryer. Slowly apply heat, starting close to the faucet end of the pipe, with the faucet open. Work toward the coldest section. Don't use electrical appliances while standing in water, as you could get electrocuted.
Going on a Trip
When away from the house for an extended period during the winter, be careful not to set your heat too low. A lower temperature may save on the heating bill, but there could be a disaster if a cold spell strikes and pipes freeze and burst that normally would be safe.
The best safeguard against this is to drain your home's water system. With no water in the pipes, there can be no freezing. This remedy should be considered even when the homeowner is not leaving but is concerned about a serious overnight freeze.
To drain the water system, shut off the main valve and turn on every water fixture (both hot and cold lines) until water stops running. It's not necessary to leave the fixtures open, since the system is filled mostly with air at that point and not subject to freezing. When returning to the house, turn on the main valve and let each fixture run until the pipes are full again.

Winter Forecast: Cold Winter More Likely For Some

Winter Forecast: Cold Winter More Likely For Some

Nick Wiltgen Published: Nov 21, 2012, 1:33 PM EST weather.com
Overlay

Big Storms for West Coast

Do you want the video to start automatically?
Autoplay On
Off
  • Big Storms for West CoastBig Storms for West Coast
The Weather Company has released its winter forecast of temperatures for December through February, and it's looking more and more likely to be a chilly winter for parts of the North.
"After an extended spell of above-normal temperatures across much of the U.S. during the past 18 months, the last few months have been characterized by below-normal temperatures across much of the eastern U.S., as a weak El Nino event has tried to emerge," said Dr. Todd Crawford, Chief Meteorologist at WSI, part of The Weather Company.
"While this El Nino event now appears to be a dud, most of our more skillful climate indicators suggest that very cold air will be in plentiful supply across western and central Canada this winter, with frequent border crossings into the northern U.S.," Crawford added. "Currently, we do not expect the kind of frequent atmospheric blocking in the North Atlantic that would result in more extreme and more widespread cold in the eastern U.S.  However, trends in some of the long-lead indicators suggest that this assumption may be challenged, and that the risk to the forecast in the eastern U.S. is towards the colder side."
Stu Ostro, senior meteorologist at The Weather Channel (Twitter | Facebook), notes that atmospheric blocking has been a major player in recent winters.
"That phenomenon of atmospheric 'blocking' by strong ridges of high pressure over Greenland and thereabouts is a key factor for winter weather downstream in the northeast United States, and it has been of overwhelming importance the past three winters," Ostro said.

"There was extreme blocking in 2009-10 and 2010-11, with arctic air and snowstorms repeatedly tackling the Northeast urban corridor. Then last winter, there was an equally extreme lack of Greenland blocking, in turn with relatively little cold air and snow in that and other parts of the U.S.

"Now, in autumn 2012, we've been seeing a tendency for a return of strong ridges over eastern Canada and Greenland.  That pattern is what forced Sandy to take the track it did, and was favorable for 'Athena' the following week and this week's systems bringing more coastal flooding to the Outer Banks.  We'll be watching very closely to see the extent to which this trend continues."

December

The winter forecast for December calls for the coldest temperatures, relative to normal, to stretch from Seattle to Duluth, Minn. Unseasonably warm weather is expected from Phoenix to Houston.


January

The winter forecast for January calls for below-normal temperatures across the North, from Portland, Ore., to Portland, Maine. Unseasonably mild weather should prevail from Las Vegas and Denver to Dallas-Fort Worth.


February

The winter forecast for February calls for temperatures well below average from Montana to the Great Lakes, including Minneapolis-St. Paul and Chicago. Warm weather continues in the Desert Southwest for places such as Albuquerque and Tucson.

(FOLLOW: Nick Wiltgen on Twitter)
The Weather Company Winter Forecast is produced at WSI's Global Forecast Center in Andover, Massachusetts. As part of The Weather Company, WSI provides premier business-to-business weather services to media, aviation, and energy industries, as well as specialized forecasts for public distribution on The Weather Channel and weather.com. Over 200 meteorologists at The Weather Company's Global Forecast Centers in Atlanta, Andover, Houston, and Birmingham, England produce pinpoint daily forecasts for over 60,000 locations worldwide and other specialized forecasts and visualizations utilizing state-of-the-art and proprietary computer modeling, analysis, and distribution systems developed by The Weather Company's scientists and engineers.

Winter Weather Watch: High Mountain Snow for the West

Winter Weather Watch: High Mountain Snow for the West


Tales of Ice-Bound Wonderlands

ted.com Published: Nov 30, 2012, 11:16 AM EST
"If we lose ice, we stand to lose an entire ecosystem."
Those aren't the words of a NOAA researcher or a green evangelist. Those are the words of Paul Nicklen, a successful photographer whose stunning images of the Arctic and Antarctic have appeared in prime spots from National Geographic Magazine to the BBC.
The poles are more than Nicklen's prime shooting location. He grew up in Canada's Arctic, with the outdoors as his playground. Like any human who sees his home disappearing, he is doing what he can to save it: Turning his lens on the beauty and wonder of the endangered lives there.
"I knew someday I was going to do something to share news about it and protect it."
Nicklen spoke more about his passion, and his pictures, during a recent TED Talk

National Drought Worsens this Week

National Drought Worsens this Week

Chris Dolce Published: Nov 29, 2012, 0:07 PM EST weather.com
CREDIT: NOAA/USDA/NDMC
National drought status as of November 27, 2012. Dark orange and red shaded locations are experiencing the worst drought conditions.
Overall, there is no good news to report in this week's update of the U.S. Drought Monitor. Conditions worsened in each category nationally over the previous week.
Moderate and severe drought coverage increased the most by 2.6 percent and 3.7 percent, respectively.
Note: There are five categories on the U.S. Drought Monitor in worsening intensity that range from abnormally dry to moderate, severe, extreme and exceptional drought status.
(MORE: Drought affecting Christmas tree prices?)
Below are some of the states that have seen the most significant changes since last week.

Significant Changes by State

Oklahoma: Extreme drought conditions (second worst category) increased from 72 percent to 91 percent since last week. This returns the amount of the state in extreme drought to near the levels we saw this past September. According to the drought report, winter wheat and pastures stood at 44 and 80 percent poor to very poor, respectively.
(MAPS: Weekly rainfall | Monthly rainfall)
Minnesota: Since last week, severe drought coverage has increased a whopping 40.3 percent. Drought conditions rated severe or worse now stands at 83.4 percent, which is the most widespread that Minnesota has seen since the drought began earlier this year.
 
North Carolina, South Carolina: Conditions continue to worsen in the Carolinas. Moderate drought expanded in North Carolina from 14.7 percent last week to 50.6 percent this week. South Carolina saw moderate drought expand from 49.4 percent to 76.1 percent this week. Severe drought in South Carolina jumped up from 6.7 percent last week to 16.4 percent this week. All of this being said, the latest drought monitor update does not include the possible benefits from some rainfall that fell earlier this week.
Texas: Moderate and severe drought conditions increased near 5 percent in each category since last week. The drought report listed that the winter wheat crop was rated 40 percent poor to very poor. Pastures have deteriorated from 43 percent poor to very poor in late October to 53 percent as of November 25.
Georgia: Moderate and severe drought coverage both increased more than 10 percent this week. Extreme drought nudged up a little more than 2 percent.
A few of the other states that have seen notable increases in at least one category of drought coverage since last week include: Virginia, Wisconsin and South Dakota.

Scientists Urge Consideration of Melting Permafrost

Scientists Urge Consideration of Melting Permafrost

Erika Bolstad Published: Nov 29, 2012, 7:23 AM EST
Overlay

Arctic Snow Melt Adds to Global Concern

 
WASHINGTON - Scientists who study the Arctic say they're worried that nations meeting this week to set targets for reducing greenhouse gas emissions aren't adequately considering how much carbon dioxide and methane could be released from the world's rapidly thawing permafrost.
Researchers have known the permafrost is warming for some time, but they've only recently begun to accurately measure just how much carbon is in the Earth's frozen regions. And they're only beginning to understand the consequences of such unanticipated greenhouse gas emissions, which weren't factored into the manmade emissions targets world leaders are considering this week at the United Nations climate talks in Doha, Qatar.
Permafrost cross section image. (Courtesy: Weather Underground)
Permafrost, ground that stays frozen for at least two years in a row, stores vast amounts of decayed plant matter. As the Earth warms, that frozen organic matter thaws and is released in the former of carbon dioxide or, more troublingly, methane. Global warming is creating a feedback loop _ as the Earth warms, higher temperatures put the permafrost at greater risk. And melting permafrost releases the very greenhouse gases that contribute to the Earth's warming.
As they learn more about the carbon in permafrost, scientists say the possible emissions must be factored into climate talks. A report issued this week by the U.N. Environment Program urges the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change to assess the impact of permafrost carbon dioxide and methane emissions. The report relies heavily on research done in Alaska by scientists with the National Snow and Ice Data Center in Colorado and the University of Alaska-Fairbanks.
(MORE: U.S. Defends 'Enormous' Climate Change Efforts at UN Talks)
"The message is that policymakers have to be aware of the possible consequences of an already changing world," said Vladimir Romanovsky of the University of Alaska-Fairbanks. "And these kinds of concerns should be included in any kind of further plans to mitigate and adapt to these changes. We need to know more about any changes in permafrost in a more robust way to have good information to build our decisions."
Their research shows that the Earth's permafrost contains 1,700 gigatons of carbon as frozen organic matter. That's twice the carbon currently in the atmosphere.
Permafrost is one of the keys to the planet's future...Its potential impact on the climate, ecosystems and infrastructure has been neglected for too long.
Achim Steiner, Executive Director of the U.N. Environment Program
"Permafrost is one of the keys to the planet's future, because it contains large stores of frozen organic matter that, if thawed and released into the atmosphere, would amplify current global warming and propel us to a warmer world," Achim Steiner, executive director of the U.N. Environment Program, said in a news release. "Its potential impact on the climate, ecosystems and infrastructure has been neglected for too long."
The report also recommended that nations with extensive permafrost _ the United States, Canada, China and Russia _ create national monitoring networks and make plans to mitigate the risks of thawing permafrost.
"The infrastructure we have now is not adequate to monitor future changes in permafrost," Kevin Schaefer, a research scientist at the National Snow and Ice Data Center and the report's lead author, said in a news release. "We need to greatly expand our current networks to monitor permafrost, which requires direct investment of money and resources by individual countries."
Policymakers also will need to plan to protect communities in the most vulnerable regions, Schaefer said, because thawing permafrost has consequences beyond the unexpected emissions that are warming the Earth.
Homes, businesses, roads, and oil and gas infrastructure in Alaska and other parts of the far north were built on ground that stayed frozen. If the ground thaws, they could collapse. Already, some villages in Alaska have had to contend with the changing conditions.

What They're Saying About Athena

What They're Saying About Athena

 

Big Storms for West Coast

Do you want the video to start automatically?
Autoplay On
Off
  • Big Storms for West CoastBig Storms for West Coast
Here's what meteorologists, officials and residents are saying about Winter Storm Athena.

On the Heels of Sandy

"It's been a rough day here. The folks are hearty -- they're ready for it and they were ready for it. Nevertheless, when you have winds that are whipping that water over the seawall, it can get pretty treacherous." - Meteorologist Maria LaRosa on The Weather Channel, reporting from Scituate, Mass.
"I am waiting for the locusts and pestilence next. We may take a setback in the next 24 hours." - New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie
"I'm not sure in our lifetimes we'll see another double whammy like this." - Meteorologist Stephanie Abrams, reporting from Danbury, Conn., on Wake Up with Al
"Covering a snow storm nine days after covering a hurricane is something I've never done before."  - Meteorologist Jim Cantore of The Weather Channel, reporting from Trenton, N.J.
"Winter is back. We've got temperatures in the 30s with stingy rain adds some ice mixed in. It's not Labor Day anymore on the Jersey shore." - The Weather Channel's Mike Seidel from Point Pleasant Beach, N.J.

Reaction from Residents

"On the barrier island, there's only about 30 people. You talk about tens of thousands of people that would normally be out there on any given night, and a lot more during the summertime, but what we're dealing with here is complete darkness ... in some cases, people haven't even been into their homes." - Meteorologist Chris Warren of The Weather Channel, reporting from Toms River, N.J.
"Our house is already in shambles. What worse can happen?" - a resigned and overwhelmed Lilly Wu. During Sandy, her family huddled upstairs as the flood rose 10 feet inside their four-story Staten Island home.
"Everyone has major anxiety after what we just experienced a week ago ... I think everybody's freaked out about what happened." - Anthony Ferrante, whose house is less than 1,000 feet from the Staten Island shoreline
"We're going on Day 10 with no power. That's a long time. I just want the sun to come out and things to be normal again." - Kate Wilford of Brick Township in New Jersey

Weekend Gas Lines Ease Up in NY, but Might Return

Weekend Gas Lines Ease Up in NY, but Might Return

weather.com Published: Nov 14, 2012, 8:56 AM EST Associated Press

Longport, N.J.

Longport, N.J.
A construction crew works on replacing the dunes at 35th Ave in Longport, N.J. Thursday Nov 8, 2012 after Winter Storm Athena and Hurricane Sandy hit the region. (AP Photo/The Press of Atlantic City, Edward Lea)
NEW YORK -- At least for one day, drivers in the New York region on Saturday seemed to be getting a break from spending hours in gas lines after Superstorm Sandy.
Around New York City, they still waited longer than usual at stations. But the lines that stretched a dozen Manhattan blocks earlier in the week at some stations were far shorter. Many were closed - for lack of fuel or taking a break.
In Brooklyn, drivers waited about 20 minutes at most in blocklong lines - much less than in previous days.
(MORE: Why We Named Athena | And Now Brutus | Interactive Snow Totals)
Play Video
Overlay

Time Lapse of 2012 Hurricane Season

 
But on Staten Island, the few open stations were busier, with about 20 cars lined up on one street amid stalled traffic.
No one knows exactly what will happen in the coming week as commuters and businesses look for fuel to get back to work.
The gas rationing announced earlier this week - the first in the nation's largest city since the 1970s Arab oil embargo - is forcing motorists to alternate days they line up at stations based on whether their license plate ends with odd or even numbers.
In New Jersey, state-imposed gas limits continued in 12 of 21 counties. The rationing based on license plate numbers will be evaluated to see how much longer it's needed, according to Michael Drewniak, a spokesman for Gov. Chris Christie.
The restrictions, coupled with power restoration, have mitigated the long waits that drivers endured at service stations just after the storm, said Sal Risalvato, executive director of the New Jersey Gasoline, Convenience Store and Automotive Association.
"It may take another week or so before it gets back to normal," he said.

SoCal Looks to Desalination to Solve Water Woes


News

SoCal Looks to Desalination to Solve Water Woes

Published: Nov 30, 2012, 8:44 AM EST weather.com
AP Photo/San Diego Water Authority
An artist rendering of a proposed desalination plant, center right, superimposed over an aerial photograph, in Carlsbad, Calif.
SAN DIEGO (AP) — A regional water agency approved a contract Thursday to buy the entire output of what would be the Western Hemisphere's largest seawater desalination plant, clearing the way for construction to begin early next year.
The San Diego County Water Authority board backed the 30-year deal with Poseidon Resources LLC, which needed it to sell investors on bonds that will finance more than 80 percent of construction of the $984 million project. The plant in Carlsbad is designed to produce 50 million gallons of highly purified drinking water a day, enough to supply about 8 percent of the region in 2020.
The agency will pay $2,042 to $2,290 for an acre-foot of water, more than twice what it cost to bring water from Northern California and the Colorado River on hundreds of miles of aqueducts. But backers of the project say the premium is well worth the protection it provides against drought and predict the price differential will diminish over time. The region imports about 80 percent of its water.
"It's absolutely critical to our region's water reliability and economic stability. It's another historic step toward making us less vulnerable to drought and the severe competition for water that we import," said San Diego Mayor Jerry Sanders.
The decision was being closely watched, especially in California, where the plant is the furthest along among about two dozen proposals in various stages of planning.
Desalination has helped quench demand in Australia, Saudi Arabia and other countries lacking fresh water, but it has been slow to catch on in the U.S.
Peter MacLaggan, a senior vice president at Poseidon, said the Carlsbad plant would likely make it easier for other projects to get approved in California.
"We just need to look closer to home for our future resources, and this is a small toward a long-term transition," he said.
The San Diego agency, which acts as a wholesaler to 24 cities and agencies including the city of San Diego, struck a tentative deal in September with Poseidon, a Stamford, Conn.-based company that also wants to build a huge desalination plant in Huntington Beach, south of Los Angeles. Since then, skeptics have questioned the cost.
Pacific Institute, an Oakland-based group that studies environmental issues, said in a report this week that San Diego should consider lowering its minimum annual purchase of 48,000 acre-feet, or enough to supply about 96,000 homes. It said large plants built in Australia over the last several years are unused in response to lower demand and cheaper alternatives. Likewise, a big plant in Tampa, Fla., that was planned during boom times in the 1990s was completed in 2007 after long delays and is operating well below capacity.
The San Diego agency estimates that the average household bill will increase $5 to $7 a month when deliveries begin in 2016. It figures the cost is comparable to other new, local sources of drinking water.
Poseidon proposed the plant in 1998 and began negotiating with potential customers shortly after the California Coastal Commission approved it in 2009, clearing the last major regulatory hurdle. The company overcame challenges from environmentalists concerned about the plant's massive electricity needs and harm to fish and other wildlife from intake filters and brine that is dumped back into the ocean.
Backers of the project averted a last-minute snag when the city of San Diego proposed shifting costs shift more costs to smaller agencies that don't have their own water treatment facilities. The board agreed to decide later on how the costs will be shared.
"I guess we're going to fight over the next couple years about how all this gets divvied up," said Mark Watton, general manager of the Otay Water District, one of only four agencies that opposed the contract, in part, because it felt the costs will prove higher than expected.
San Diego began to consider desalination in the early 1990s, when a drought led it to conclude that it needed a more diverse, reliable water supply. The agency is also considering giant desalination plants at Camp Pendleton Marine Corps Base and Playas de Rosarito, Mexico, just south of the U.S. border