Haiyan-Ravaged Philippines Face Another Tropical Threat
By Kristina Pydynowski, Senior Meteorologist
November 11, 2013; 6:22 AM
The death toll across the Philippines from Haiyan (local name Yolanda) could rise to 10,000, as reported by the Associated Press.
Even a causal passing shower or thunderstorm would dampen and hinder the recovery. But the danger of another tropical threat with heavy rains looms through midweek.
A tropical disturbance spinning a couple-hundred miles southeast of Palau is expected to track through the Philippines. While the exact track of the disturbance will be slightly to the south of Haiyan's, heavy rain accompanying the disturbance will pass directly over the areas devastated by Haiyan.
As the center of the disturbance reaches the Philippines by early Wednesday (local time), the system will likely develop into a tropical depression. Through late Wednesday, the system will cross the islands.
To make things worse, there is still potential for the disturbance to strengthen into a tropical storm and unleashing more frequent periods of heavy rain.
This system will not be traveling as fast as Haiyan, meaning there will be more time for heavy rain to pour down. Rain is expected to start late Tuesday afternoon (local time), and continue through Wednesday night.
AccuWeather.com Meteorologist Eric Wanenchak anticipates a general 100 to 200 mm (4 to 8 inches) of rain will fall along the path of the system.
That amount of rain could easily trigger new flash flooding problems, especially with the ground severely saturated by Haiyan. Mudslides are again a threat, while any rain could hamper cleanup and recovery efforts.
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