Thursday, September 19, 2013


Satellite
Manuel came back to life late Tuesday after a brief stint as a remnant low over southwestern Mexico. It quickly gained strength and became a hurricane on Wednesday.
Manuel continues to hug the coast of Mexico and a hurricane warning remains posted (see map below).
Slow weakening is expected Thursday and Friday as Manuel crawls inland. This will decrease the wind threat, however heavy rain will remain a serious concern the next few days.
While this activity has shifted north of the hardest-hit areas of the Pacific coast, there could still be enough rain to cause flash floods and mudslides over west-central mainland Mexico. Up to 15 inches of rain is possible in the state of Sinaloa, including Mazatlan. For the southern Baja, including Cabo San Lucas, an additional 1 to 2 inches of rain is possible.
Manuel formed last Friday afternoon and steadily moved northwestward before making landfall on Sunday along the Pacific coast of Mexico. Throughout its time as a tropical storm and even as a remnant low, Manuel has dumped enormous amounts of rainfall on the Mexican Riviera.
Over 14 inches of rain fell in Acapulco before the observation site stopped reporting. Severe flooding has claimed lives and cut off road access across the region.
Manuel was downgraded to a remnant low Monday morning after grinding across the rugged terrain of Guerrero and Jalisco states.
Then, the disturbance emerged over open water near the southern end of the Gulf of California, regaining its circulation.

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