Typical of late May, we will see clusters of severe thunderstorm activity in many states through over the next several days.
Fortunately, we don't expect an outbreak of tornadoes. Given the lack of a powerful large-scale storm system, severe weather will tend to be driven by daytime heating, with the greatest chances in the afternoon and evening and much lower chances in the late night and morning hours. There will be daily rounds of storms in several areas, and some of them will pack a punch. Here are the specifics.
- Wednesday night: Risk of severe t-storms in the northern High Plains (central and eastern Montana, western Dakotas). The risk should taper off after midnight. A few severe t-storms possible along parts of the Gulf Coast; spotty flash flooding is possible there as well. Other mainly non-severe t-storms in the orange-shaded areas on the map, with a general decreasing trend later at night.
- Thursday and Friday: The trend of very spotty, disjointed severe weather events scattered over many states will continue. See Dr. Greg Forbes's TOR:CON tornado forecast for a list of areas potentially at risk.
A more substantial threat of severe weather, including tornadoes, is possible Sunday and Monday in parts of the Upper Midwest.
Lightning is of course always dangerous. Keep that in mind if you have outdoor plans in the orange areas on our thunderstorm maps.
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