BUFFALO, NY-- The Climate Prediction Center Thursday released its late fall / early winter forecast for the United States. This forecast includes the months of October, November and December.
Graphics show Western New York is forecast to have a warmer, and drier than normal, period during these three months. This seems to follow what can be typically expected during an El Nino event.
During strong El Nino events like this year, warm waters in the tropical Pacific ocean cause a strengthening of the Pacific jet stream which tends keep cold air bottled up in Canada and an active strorm track across the Southern US. Such a pattern is a warm one for Western New York during the winter and diminishes the lake effect snow process which keeps our seasonal snow totals down.
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