Tuesday, April 29, 2014

The System that Cried Wolf

Roughly three out of every four tornado warnings issued by the National Weather Service are false alarms.

No, that's not a misprint. Only one in four tornado warnings contain a verified confirmed tornado within the warned area during the time of the warning. But that doesn't mean you should just ignore them.


On average, about 70 percent of all confirmed tornadoes occur in an active tornado-warned area. In other words, seven out of 10 confirmed tornadoes were covered by a tornado warning at the time. The success rate has doubled since the mid-1980s, thanks to Doppler radar, technology and meteorologists' better understanding of tornadic environments.

Read more...
http://www.weather.com/safety/tornadoes/tornado-warning-false-alarms-impact-based-warnings-20140418

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