Tropical disturbance in Caribbean could threaten Gulf Coast next week

A disorganized low pressure system has been festering over the western Caribbean Sea all week, and the odds of it forming and affecting the Gulf Coast are increasing. It is not in any hurry though, so if it should develop, it would not reach the Gulf Coast until at least Wednesday. If it reaches tropical storm status, its name will be Michael.

Most, though not all, forecast models now predict a tropical storm will reach the northern Gulf Coast sometime between Wednesday and Saturday next week, depending on how soon it starts crawling out of the Caribbean.

If the storm directly affects the Gulf Coast, there is a wide range of possibilities about exactly where it comes ashore. Simulations suggest the landfall point could span from western Louisiana to South Florida. While it’s too soon to detail how strong the system will be or if and where it will strike, tropical systems that move through the Caribbean and Gulf of Mexico draw vast amounts of moisture northward and can become prolific rain producers.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/weather/2018/10/05/tropical-disturbance-caribbean-could-threaten-gulf-coast-next-week/?utm_term=.779ed0e6c662