Saturday, November 30, 2019

Nov 29th update on the tropics – typhoon #KAMMURI continues towards Philippines

Kammuri is now on its gradually accelerating west movement and continues strengthening, packing 75 knots sustained winds with a central pressure around 973 mbar - the latest model guidance suggests it my potentially reach at least a Category 3 strength by Monday, just before landfall on Philippines.

Satellite imagery indicating again an incredible amount of extremely deep convection, pushing cloud tops temperature towards -90 °C. The first daylight of local morning, Nov 30th, is just revealing the system in visible spectrum - an impressive wide-open upper-level outflow with textbook explosive deep convection within the broad area around typhoon's virtual center.

The future track will bring KAMMURI due west towards the Philippines with the potential landfall on late Monday / early Tuesday.

It is increasingly likely the typhoon will travel directly towards the capital Manila on Wednesday.

One of the concerns could be the large area of very warm sea waters just to the east of the Philippines where typhoon could start a more significant intensification prior to landfall.

Typhoon #Kammuri is headed directly for the Philippines after the weekend, potentially as a super typhoon, just as the SEA Games kick off.

KAMMURI has been upgraded to a Category 1 typhoon - models are consistent it will soon begin rapid intensification and head towards the Philippines.



https://www.severe-weather.eu/tropical-weather/nov-29th-update-typhoon-kammuri-philippines-mk/

No comments:

Post a Comment