Sunday, December 1, 2013

Winter Storm Cleon Targets Western U.S.

The Weather Channel has named Winter Storm Cleon, the third named winter storm of the 2013-14 season. Cleon will usher in a period of very cold weather across much of the western and northern U.S., along with zones of significant snowfall.
Let's start with the outlook for snow and ice, beginning in the Northwest.

Snow Forecast: Skier's Delight

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Model forecast animation of the upper-level trough, or dip in the jet stream, responsible for the development of Winter Storm Cleon.
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Monday Forecast

Monday Forecast
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Potential Snowfall Totals

Potential Snowfall Totals
Snow levels will drop Sunday night as a Pacific cold front slides into the Pacific Northwest, bringing snow to lower and lower elevations within the Cascades, Bitterroots, and Tetons through Monday.
Given the trajectory of the attendant upper-level trough diving more toward the south andsoutheast into the West, cold Arctic air will be pulled not only down the Front Range of the Rockies, but also into the Great Basin and even into the I-5 corridor of western Washington and western Oregon. Thus, a few snow showers are possible even in these low elevations starting Monday.
Before the cold air arrives, heavy rainfall could lead to some localized flooding problems, particularly in western Washington where flood watches have been issued.
The snowfall will create significant impacts totravel through the mountain passes including Sherman Pass in northeast Washington and Stevens and Snoqualmie Passes in the Cascades. Several inches of snow will be likely in the passes with well over a foot at higher elevations of the Cascades through Bitterroots through Monday. Seattle and Portland could see some snow mix in with rain as early as Monday, mainly on the higher hills.
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Tuesday Forecast

Tuesday Forecast
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Wednesday Forecast

Wednesday Forecast
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Potential Snowfall Totals

Potential Snowfall Totals
Tuesday into Wednesday, the deep upper-trough and cold front continue plowing south, spreading snow into the Sierra Nevada, Wasatch and Rockies. While this is happening, another broad area of potentially heavy snow and pockets of mixed wintry precipitation may develop behind the Arctic front in the High Plains of Montana and Wyoming, spreading into parts of the Northern Plains and Upper Midwest.
As the upper level low associated with Winter Storm Cleon moves into Canada, late Wednesday, the trailing cold front will continue to drag bitterly cold air southeast. Thursday, that cold air will act as a trigger for wintry weather in parts of Oklahoma, Texas and far eastern New Mexico.  At this point, the models are in agreement that there will be some accumulating winter weather starting early Thursday and continuing through the day.  The type of wintry weather is a bit trickier to discern with complete confidence.  But current thinking — for central Oklahoma — is that a wintry mix will begin the day and precipitation will completely change to snow by day's end.  
Along with the snow and ice, Winter Storm Cleon will bring some brutally cold temperatures.


Decembrrrrrr!


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