Wednesday, October 15, 2014

Hurricane Gonzolo



A hurricane warning has been posted for Bermuda as it braces for major Hurricane Gonzalo, which earlier became the firstCategory 4 hurricane in the Atlantic Basin since Hurricane Ophelia in October 2011.
Hurricane Gonzalo is now a Category 3 hurricane, though it is only slightly weaker than its peak intensity. It has made the anticipated right turn, now moving due north, and will make a perilously close pass to Bermuda Friday.
Hurricane Gonzalo is near its peak intensity now. Gonzalo has experienced an eyewall replacement cycle, a process during which an outer ring of convection chokes off the existing eyewall, eventually collapsing inward and replacing it. With that process apparently complete and Gonzalo moving over warm water in a low-shear environment, Gonzalo is expected to generally hold on to its intensity through Thursday with only minor fluctuations.
Gonzalo is moving north and will eventually curl northeastward thanks to a southward dip in the jet stream coming off the eastern U.S. 
Unfortunately, this puts Bermuda, once again, in the potential crosshairs of a tropical cyclone for the second time this week.

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