ARTICLE: Regardless of tropical development in the western Gulf of Mexico or not, a stream of tropical moisture into Texas will raise the risk of heavy rain and flooding starting later this week.
Although the Atlantic has been quiet since Hurricane Joaquin, conditions in the Gulf of Mexico are showing signs that the tropical season may not be finished.
In years of strong El Niño, it is rather difficult for tropical systems to strengthen in the Atlantic due to unrelenting wind shear; this has been the cause for less-than-normal activity during the 2015 Atlantic hurricane season.
Wind shear is a rapid change in direction and speed of air flow at different levels of the atmosphere. Wind shear can prevent a tropical system from forming and cause an organized tropical system to weaken.
Without a parade of storms throughout the season to churn up and cool surface waters, the Gulf of Mexico has become very warm, leading to the enhancement of an area of unsettled weather later this week.
SUMMARY: This article speaks on how weather trackers have been able to see a pattern of movement of moisture into Texas. This warm moisture will likely fuel storms and rain in Texas. Flooding is also possible. However with the amount of moisture might be intefered with due to wind shear. Wind shear might be able to prevent the moisture from devloping too much in Texas
LINK: http://www.accuweather.com/en/weather-news/potential-tropical-development-1/53052102
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