Wednesday, October 24, 2018

Return of storms, downpours to impede Michael recovery efforts late this week

a close up of a map: SE Downpours late week
A much larger storm will brew once moisture from what is currently Hurricane Willa just off of Mexico's southwestern coast in the eastern Pacific reemerges into the Gulf of Mexico by midweek.
Although Willa will have lost nearly all of its wind intensity by the time it reaches the Gulf of Mexico, its moisture is expected to spawn a new storm system that tracks eastward along the Gulf Coast.
After a tranquil day on Wednesday, drenching thunderstorms and soaking downpours will move into the Florida Panhandle and Georgia on Thursday and continue into Friday.
A general 1-3 inches of rain is forecast across southern portions of Alabama and Georgia, as well as in northern Florida. Unfortunately, a narrow corridor of 3-6 inches of rain will be possible between Panama City and Cedar Key, Florida, in areas hit hardest by Michael.
Because a prolonged stretch of dry weather since Michael has allowed area rivers and streams to fall well below flood stage, the additional rain should not be enough to cause another round of widespread, major flooding.
However, flooding of streams, creeks and streets at the local level will be possible in areas hit by the most persistent downpours.
The bigger impact from the rain will be to severely hinder and undo some of the progress made since Michael unleashed its wrath on the region.

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