Tuesday, November 4, 2014

Long Range Outlooks

Screen shot 2014-11-03 at 3.36.09 PM

http://epawaweather.com/long-range-outlooks/


The signs for a warm November were looking promising as we were approaching the final week of October, but a lot of changes have occurred over the past week that has led to many rethinking the November forecast. The computer model and ensemble agreement is strong on a few displacements of very cold air making it down into the United States. Our region will likely not be in the core of this cold but certainly below average for November standards. The main players involved in this rapid change in the forecast are:
1) Super Typhoon Nuri – A Category 5!!!!
2) Rapid build up of snow cover in Siberia
3) El Nino flexing some muscle before winter

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