Tropical Depression Fifteen-E has formed in the Eastern Pacific off the coast of southern Mexico.
While
currently experiencing some wind shear, displacing some of its
convection away from the center of circulation, the system is forecast
to strengthen and become Tropical Storm Odile soon as it drifts toward
the north-northwest over the next day or so. This wind shear is expected
to weaken by later Thursday, allowing the system to gather more
strength.
The eventual path of the future Odile is tricky.
One
option is for the system to track far enough offshore such that only
periphery impacts (outer rainbands, high surf, rip currents) are
possible from near Manzanillo northward to the Baja Peninsula.
Another
option is for future Odile to track much closer to the coast, bringing
the threat of high winds, surge flooding, and torrential rain to the
above-mentioned areas.
http://www.weather.com/news/weather-hurricanes/tropical-depression-fifteen-e-pacific-mexico-20140909
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