An area of disturbed weather in the Bay of Bengal may develop into a tropical cyclone later this week and could impact southern India this weekend.
Several days of largely dry weather across southern India into Friday will allow residents of southern India to prepare for potential impacts and evacuations from the storm.
The low pressure system in the Bay of Bengal may strengthen into a tropical depression or cyclonic storm by mid to late week. As it nears the coast of southeast India, regardless of strength, it will likely bring areas of rain and thunderstorms with the risk for flooding and mudslides.
Should it organize into cyclonic storm, the name Phethai would be given to the tropical system.
In this scenario, an area of intense wind and rain would occur near where the storm makes landfall and may spread inland as the storm moves northwestward and weakens.
Based on the current forecast, areas from northern Tamil Nadu into southern Andhra Pradesh are most at risk for impacts from a land-falling tropical cyclone this weekend.
While wind damage will likely be confined to areas close to the coast, downpours may spread far inland bringing the risk for localized flooding to much of Andhra Pradesh and Telangana on Saturday and Sunday.
A few downpours may also reach Orissa and Chhattisgarh, bringing brief travel disruption.
Another concern is that increasing wind around the system is expected to churn up seas across the southern Bay of Bengal. Fisherman in southeast India will have to use extra caution later this week and into the weekend as seas become dangerously rough.
Bathers will also be a risk due to increased surf and rip currents along the coast of Tamil Nadu and Andhra Pradesh.
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